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The house edge: why the casino always wins

European roulette's RTP is 97.3%, and the 2.7% is the casino's guaranteed profit. Across variants and bets the figure ranges from 92.1% to 98.65%, but the casino never returns all the money staked as winnings. Here's why — and what a player can do about it.

Blog · maths2.7% edge (European)RTP 92.1%–98.65%No zero-edge bets

RTP by variant and bet

From the worst bet in roulette to the best.

92.1% Basket bet (American)
94.74% American roulette
97.3% European roulette
98.65% French (even money)

Actual chance vs 'fair' chance

The gap between these columns is the house edge.

Bet Payout Actual chance 'Fair' chance
Even money (red/black) 1:1 48.6% 50%
Column / dozen 2:1 32.4% 33.3%
Straight-up number 35:1 2.7% 2.78%

European roulette comes with an RTP of 97.3%, and the remaining 2.7% is the house edge — the casino’s guaranteed profit. Different versions and bets give an RTP ranging from 92.1% (the basket bet in American roulette) to 98.65% (even money in French with La Partage and En Prison), but the casino never returns all the money staked as winnings.

How the house edge works

There isn’t a single simple bet in roulette with even a 50% chance of winning. Even-money bets (paying 1:1) win 48.6% of the time — the player loses slightly more often than they collect, and that’s what produces the 2.7% edge. The same principle applies everywhere: a column or dozen (paying 2:1) wins 32.4% of the time, where a “fair” bet with no loss to the player would be 33.3%.1

Why combination bets don’t save you

Experienced players cover, say, the Voisins and Tiers sectors at once, blanketing most of the wheel to win on almost every spin. But a combination of several individual bets costs more, and its separate components still lose — so the net gain comes out modest.

The cost of a rare loss on an expensive combination bet, set against the regular but small wins, adds up to exactly the same standard house edge. You can’t beat the maths by covering the layout — more on this in the breakdown of bet types.

Tips for winning

RTP and the house edge only settle on their “headline” values over hundreds and thousands of spins, while short sessions are highly volatile. If you want to win:

  • play in short sessions — high volatility can push you into a short-term profit;
  • practise a stop-profit — lock in the result and walk away once your bankroll is up, say, by 30%;
  • choose high-RTP variants — the leader here is French roulette with La Partage or En Prison (98.65%).

That said, no set of instructions guarantees a profit — that’s a mathematical property of the game, not pessimism.

Footnotes

  1. The gap between the “fair” probability (33.3%) and the actual one (32.4%) is the house edge baked into the rules. It’s the same across every bet on a given wheel, so there are no “safe”, zero-edge bets in roulette.

Quick FAQ

Can you actually win at roulette?
Over a short session — yes, thanks to high volatility. Over thousands of spins the result converges on the RTP and the house edge takes its cut. So a win is luck in the moment, not a steady income.
Which bet is the best value?
Even-money bets in French roulette with La Partage or En Prison — an RTP of 98.65%. The worst value is the basket bet in American roulette (RTP 92.1%); avoid it.
Do combination bets reduce the house edge?
No. Covering most of the wheel gives frequent but small wins, while a rare loss on an expensive bet eats them up. The total house edge stays the same — you can't beat the maths with bet selection.

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